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Daily Forex Signal 05 Desember 2008
Daily Forex Signal 04 Desember 2008
Daily Forex Signal 03 Desember 2008
Daily Forex Signal 02 Desember 2008
Daily Forex Signal 01 Desember 2008
Daily Forex Signal 28 November 2008
Daily Forex Signal 27 November 2008
Daily Forex Signal 26 November 2008
Daily Forex Signal 25 November 2008
Daily Forex Signal 24 November 2008
Daily Forex Signal 21 November 2008
Daily Forex Signal 20 November 2008
Daily Forex Signal 19 November 2008
Daily Forex Signal 18 November 2008
Daily Forex Signal 17 November 2008
Daily Forex Signal 14 November 2008
Daily Forex Signal 13 November 2008
Daily Forex Signal 12 November 2008
Daily Forex Signal 11 November 2008
Daily Forex Signal 10 November 2008
Daily Forex Signal 07 November 2008
Daily Forex Signal 06 November 2008
Daily Forex Signal 05 November 2008
Daily Forex Signal 04 November 2008

Daily Forex Signal 03 November 2008
SELL GBP/USD 1.6163 TP 1.6143 SL 1.6193 RESULT PROFIT

Daily Forex Signal 31 October 2008
BUY GBP/USD 1.6466 TP 1.6486 SL 1.6436 RESULT ORDER NOT TOUCHED

Daily Forex Signal 30 October 2008
BUY GBP/USD 1.6280 TP 1.6300 SL 1.6250 RESULT PROFIT

Daily Forex Signal 29 October 2008
BUY GBP/USD 1.5792 TP 1.5812 SL 1.5762 RESULT ORDER NOT TOUCHED

Daily Forex Signal 28 October 2008
SELL GBP/USD 1.5547 TP 1.5527 SL 1.5577 RESULT PROFIT

Daily Forex Signal 27 October 2008
BUY GBP/USD 1.5872 TP 1.5892 SL 1.5842 RESULT ORDER NOT TOUCHED

Daily Forex Signal 24 October 2008
BUY GBP/USD 1.6226 TP 1.6246 SL 1.6196 RESULT ORDER NOT TOUCHED

Daily Forex Signal 23 October 2008
SELL GBP/USD 1.6334 TP 1.6314 SL 1.6364 RESULT PROFIT

Daily Forex Signal 22 October 2008
SELL GBP/USD 1.6808 TP 1.6788 SL 1.6838 RESULT ORDER NOT TOUCHED

Daily Forex Signal 21 October 2008
SELL GBP/USD 1.7216 TP 1.7196 SL 1.7246 RESULT ORDER NOT TOUCHED

Daily Forex Signal 20 October 2008
BUY GBP/USD 1.7323 TP 1.7343 SL 1.7293 RESULT PROFIT

Daily Forex Signal 17 October 2008
BUY GBP/USD 1.7284 TP 1.7304 SL 1.7254 RESULT LOSS

Daily Forex Signal 16 October 2008
SELL GBP/USD 1.7337 TP 1.7317 SL 1.7367 RESULT PROFIT

Daily Forex Signal 15 October 2008
SELL GBP/USD 1.7412 TP 1.7392 SL 1.7442 RESULT PROFIT

Daily Forex Signal 14 October 2008
BUY GBP/USD 1.7247 TP 1.7267 SL 1.7217 RESULT ORDER NOT TOUCHED

Daily Forex Signal 13 October 2008
BUY GBP/USD 1.7044 TP 1.7064 SL 1.7014 RESULT PROFIT

Daily Forex Signal 10 October 2008
SELL GBP/USD 1.7143 TP 1.7123 SL 1.7173 RESULT PROFIT

Daily Forex Signal 09 October 2008
SELL GBP/USD 1.7366 TP 1.7346 SL 1.7396 RESULT PROFIT

Daily Forex Signal 08 October 2008
SELL GBP/USD 1.7455 TP 1.7425 SL 1.7485 RESULT PROFIT

Daily Forex Signal 07 October 2008
SELL GBP/USD 1.7455 TP 1.7425 SL 1.7485 RESULT PROFIT

Daily Forex Signal 06 October 2008
BUY GBP/USD 1.7735 TP 1.7755 SL 1.7705 RESULT ORDER NOT TOUCHED

Daily Forex Signal 03 October 2008
SELL GBP/USD 1.7617 TP 1.7597 SL 1.7647 RESULT PROFIT


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Forex kependekan dari Foreign Exchange, merupakan jenis perdagangan atau transaksi yang memperdagangkan mata uang suatu negara terhadap mata uang negara lainnya yang melibatkan pasar uang utama di dunia selama 24 jam secara berkesinambungan. Kegiatan Forex ini tanpa kita sadari sering dilakukan oleh semua orang didunia, contohnya ketika kita berpergian keluar negeri pasti kita menukarkan mata uang kita dengan mata uang negara yang kita tuju. Atau contoh lain kita melakukan kegiatan ekspor-impor, kebutuhan pasar serta institusi bank.
Apabila kita berdagang dengan memanfaatkan selisih pertukaran antara harga beli dan harga jual yang fluktuatif setiap menitnya, biasanya disebut dengan Trade.
Para trader dalam melakukan perdagangan forex selalu menggunakan trading house/broker. Broker ini bisa dilakukan secara online melalui internet, bisa juga melalui telp atau dengan cara manual sekalipun.

Pergerakan pasar valuta asing ini berputar mulai dari pasar Selandia Baru dan Australia yang berlangsung pukul 05.00–14.00 WIB, terus ke pasar Asia yaitu Jepang, Singapura, dan Hongkong yang berlangsung pukul 07.00–16.00 WIB, ke pasar Eropa yaitu Jerman dan Inggris yang berlangsung pukul 13.00–22.00 WIB, sampai ke pasar Amerika Serikat yang berlangsung pukul 20.30–10.30 WIB.
Dalam perkembangan sejarahnya, bank sentral milik negara-negara dengan cadangan mata uang asing yang terbesar sekalipun dapat dikalahkan oleh kekuatan pasar valuta asing yang bebas.

Menurut survei BIS (Bank International for Settlement – Bank Sentral Dunia), yang dilakukan pada akhir tahun 2004, nilai transaksi pasar valuta asing mencapai lebih dari US$ 1,4 triliun per harinya. Dengan demikian, prospek investasi di perdagangan valuta asing adalah sangat bagus sekaligus beresiko tinggi.
Mengingat tingkat likuiditas dan percepatan harga yang tinggi tesebut, valuta asing juga telah menjadi alternatif yang paling populer karena ROI (Return On Investment/tingkat pengembalian nilai investasi yang kita tanam) serta profit yang akan didapat bisa melebihi rata-rata perdagangan pada umumnya (biasanya rata-rata return berkisar antara 5 % – 10 % tiap bulannya, bahkan bisa mencapai lebih dari 100 % tiap bulannya untuk profesional trader). Akibat pergerakan yang cepat tersebut, valuta asing juga memiliki resiko yang tinggi apabila kita tidak mempunyai pengetahuan yang cukup serta manajemen trading yang baik.

Tidak seperti pasar saham, misalnya NewYork Stock Exchange atau Jakarta Stock Exchange, pasar valuta asing tidak memiliki kantor pusat perdagangan. NYSE berlokasi di Wallstreet NY, Sedangkan JSE berlokasi di Jakarta. Pasar valuta asing bisa dipertimbangkan sebagai pasar yang bersifat "Interbank" atau OTC "Over The Counter" karena waktu perdagangannya yang continue mengikuti waktu perdagangan masing-masing negara dan bisa diasumsikan bahwa pasar valuta asing buka selama 24 jam.

Apa perbedaan pasar forex traditional dan pasar forex modern/online?
Untuk pasar forex traditional level uang yang dipakai adalah 1:1, atau berarti untuk bertrading senilai $100 anda memerlukan uang $100, atau berarti untuk melakukan pasar traditional bisa dikatakan perlu modal yang besar, umumnya perdagangan traditional dilakukan secara offline di pasar-pasar FOREX.
Sedangkan pasar modern dalam perdagangannya menggunakan level dan margin, perdagangannya pun menggunakan media online.

Apa itu level dan margin?
Level disini dalam pasar FOREX modern seperti contoh nya 1:100, atau artinya untuk memperdagangkan $100 modal yang perlu dipakai hanya 1:100 nya saja, atau $1 saja,
$1 itu lah juga yang disebutkan dengan margin (atau disebut juga deposit untuk pembelian quantity $100).

Bagaimana mungkin $1 bisa untuk membeli $100 ??
Karena sebenarnya bisa dikatakan broker lah yang mengeluarkan jumlah uang $100 tersebut untuk anda, sehingga anda hanya perlu mengeluarkan uang (Account deposit) untuk menanggung kerugian dan keuntungan dari transaksi $100 itu. Jadi $1 itu sebagai jaminan $100, dan sisa account lain sebagai penanggung kerugian dan keuntungan dari transaksi tersebut. Oleh karena sistem inilah trading forex modern lebih banyak diminati oleh kebanyakan orang dibandingkan dengan trading tradisional, tetapi harus berhati-hati, karena level atau leverage bisa menjadi pedang bermata dua. Contohnya adalah:
Apabila anda bermain dengan $1 = $100, berarti sama dengan $1 adalah 0.1 lot, apabila uang anda ada $10 yang anda mainkan, setiap kenaikan 20pips berarti anda akan mendapatkan $20 tambahan, tetapi anda jangan lupa juga setiap penurunan 20pips anda berarti sudah mengalami kerugian minus $20, nah karena sebelumnya modal anda 10$, berarti brokers akan melakukan margin call karena uang anda tidak mencukupi! Alias uang anda hangus karena modal sudah habis hanya karena penurunan tadi!
Mata uang apa yang paling banyak diminati orang dalam bertrading?
Sebagian besar orang bertrading menggunakan mata uang utama dunia (negara2 G7 dan maju), alasan itu sendiri karena mata uang tersebut relatif stabil dan pergerakannya tidak terlalu tajam, dan lagi mata uang negara2 ini lah yang akan mempengaruhi pergerakan ekonomi dunia
1. EUR/USD: Euro / US Dollar disebut dengan euro
2. USD/JPY: US Dollar / Japanese Yen disebut dengan Dollar Yen;
3. GBP/USD: British Pound / US Dollar disebut dengan Cable;
4. USD/CHF: US Dollar / Swiss Franc disebut dengan Dollar Swiss, or Swissy;
5. USD/CAD: US Dollar / Canadian Dollar disebut denganDollar Canada, or C-Dollar;
6. AUD/USD: Australian Dollar / US Dollar disebut dengan Aussie Dollar;
7. EUR/GBP: Euro / British Pound disebut dengan Euro Sterling;
8. EUR/JPY: Euro / Japanese Yen disebut dengan Euro Yen;
9. EUR/CHF: Euro / Swiss Franc disebut dengan Euro Swiss;
10. GBP/CHF: British Pound / Swiss Franc disebut dengan Sterling Swiss;
11. GBP/JPY: British Pound / Japanese Yen disebut dengan Sterling Yen;
12. CHF/JPY: Swiss Franc / Japanese Yen disebut dengan Swiss Yen;
13. NZD/USD: New Zealand Dollar / US Dollar disebut dengan New Zealand Dollar

Apa yang dimaksud harga BID / OFFER?
Coba perhatikan contoh mata uang EUR/USD berikut : 1.1810/1.1813, 1.1810 adalah harga bid dan 1.1813 adalah harga offer. Bid berarti adalah harga dimana broker(pedagang besar) mau membeli mata uang kita. Offer berarti adalah harga dimana broker(pedagang besar) mau menjual mata uang kepada kita. Jadi apabila anda memasang posisi buy, maka saat order buy tereksekusi yang dipakai adalah harga offer. Sedangkan saat memasang posisi sell, maka saat order sell tereksekusi yang dipakai adalah harga bid

Bagaimana cara mendapatkan keuntungan dalam bertrading?
Caranya yaitu dengan menganalisa pasangan mata uang mana yang akan naik atau turun, dan mengambil selisih nya dari perdagangan.

· Apabila anda yakin mata uang tersebut akan menguat (naik) segera lakukan posisi buy, kemudian tunggu harga naik, lakukan closed (sell) saat mata uang tersebut melebihi harga beli anda tadi.
· Apabila anda yakin mata uang tersebut akan melemah (turun) lakukan posisi sell, tunggu harga turun,lakukan closed (buy) saat mata uang tersebut dibawah harga jual anda tadi

Seperti contoh nya begini:
Pembukaan Euro 1.1750 / 1.1753 , anda menganalisa bahwa euro akan naik menjadi posisi 1.1770/1.1767, maka bukalah posisi buy saat harga tersebut (maka anda membeli pada posisi 1.1753), dan saat posisi berubah menjadi 1.1770/1.1773 , lakukan closed posisi / menjual mata uang tersebut (pada posisi 1.1770)
Perhatikan contoh diatas, harga offer dan harga bid, perhatikan pula selisih harga buy dan sellnya, dan kapan anda menggunakan harga offer dan kapan menggunakan harga bid

Bagaimana cara menghitung profit yang kita dapat?
Misalkan level platform forex yang kita pakai adalah 1:100 , maka cara menghitung profitnya adalah
Profit = margin x ( selisih harga beli-jual / 100 )
contohnya selisih harga beli dan jual anda saat transaksi adalah 70 pips , dan margin yang dipakai (deposito) adalah $10 (untuk pembelian $1000) maka
Profit = $10 x (70 / 100 ) = $7

Apa itu market price,stop order dan limit price?
Pada saat anda membuka posisi tentu anda akan menjumpai option untuk membeli/menjual secara Market Price, Stop Order dan Limit Price.
Market Price adalah membeli/menjual dengan harga saat itu yang ada di pasar.
Stop order adalah membeli/menjual apabila arah pasar sesuai yang anda mau, permisalan begini harga USD/JPY saat itu 108.72 dan anda merasa akan bergerak lebih tinggi, anda dapat menaruh stop order untuk membeli di 108.82, apabila ternyata harga tidak sampai ke 108.82 maka order anda tidak akan tereksekusi.
Limit Price ada 2 macam, yaitu Buy Limit dan Sell Limit. Buy Limit adalah anda menaruh harga BUY di bawah harga pasar sedangkan Sell Limit adalah anda menaruh harga SELL di atas harga pasar.

Apa itu stop loss dan take profit?
Stop loss adalah batasan harga terendah atau kerugian yang dapat anda tanggung
Take profit adalah batasan harga tertinggi atau keuntungan yang akan kita dapat apabila order anda terkena salah satu dari batasan itu maka posisi akan tertutup secara otomatis

Yang Perlu Anda Ketahui Tentang MARKETIVA
Apa itu Marketiva?
Marketiva adalah sebuah broker yang menyediakan sarana untuk bermain Forex secara Real, yang dimaksud real adalah segala apa yang anda lakukan mengikuti tata cara yang sama dengan yang ada di Bursa Forex sesungguhnya dan mengunakan data-data pergerakan mata uang secara real-time yang berubah terus setiap detiknya.

Apa keuntungan menggunakan Marketiva?
Dengan Marketiva maka anda bisa bermain Forex dimana saja anda berada, selama ada komputer dan sambungan internet, baik itu di rumah, di kantor, di perjalanan, maupun di warnet. Selain itu anda tidak perlu berhubungan dengan broker siapapun dalam melakukan transaksi, anda bebas menggunakan uang anda sendiri dan melakukan transaksi sendiri tanpa campur tangan pihak manapun dan tanpa harus membayar fee atau biaya jasa kepada siapapun. Anda bebas menentukan keuntungan yang anda inginkan dan bebas menghentikan transaksi yang sedang berjalan kapan pun anda inginkan. Sehingga resiko kerugian dapat dikurangi seminimal mungkin.
Keunggulan Marketiva
1. Membuka Account Gratis.
2. Mendapat $5 Gratis.
3. Hanya dengan $1 anda sudah bisa bertrading.
4. Keamanan yang cukup bagus.
5. Memperoleh Software untuk bertrading secara real time.


Berapa banyak modal yang saya butuhkan untuk memulai trading forex online ini?
Tidak seperti pada perusahaan finansial pada umumnya yang mensyaratkan minimal US$ 2,500 untuk pembukaan account reguler dan US$ 250 untuk account mini, di Marketiva, anda hanya membutuhkan uang sebesar US$ 1 untuk dapat mulai trading forex online, bebas biaya komisi, bebas biaya penukaran, tidak ada bunga overnight (0% overnight interest), spread yang rendah (mulai dari 2 pips), pemberitahuan berita terbaru, alert dan signal trading secara gratis, dukungan live chat 24 jam nonstop dan bahkan anda mendapatkan modal 5 US$ secara cuma-cuma saat anda mendaftar pertama kali. Dengan kata lain, untuk memulai trading forex online di Marketiva adalah GRATIS!
Bagaimana cara transaksinya?
Ada banyak metode transaksi yang dapat digunakan di Marketiva, yaitu menggunakan Wire Transfer, E-Bullion, WebMoney, Liberty Reverse dan E-Dinar. Untuk di Indonesia yang paling sering digunakan adalah E-Bullion.
E-Bullion adalah world wide money (e-currency) atau account transaksi anda di internet. E-Bullion menggunakan kurs emas atau logam mulia lainnya yang nilainya dikonversikan ke nilai mata uang US$ atau mata uang lainya. Setelah mempunyai account di E-Bullion, maka anda harus memiliki account di website exchanger Indonesia (money changer) yang berguna untuk melakukan penukaran E-Bullion ke rupiah dan sebaliknya dari atau ke account bank anda di Indonesia. Untuk exchanger ini anda dapat menggunakan jasa dari Indochanger.

Bagaimana dengan keamanannya?
Marketiva menerapkan aturan 1 account per orang, jika sistem di Marketiva mendeteksi adanya 2 account yang berbeda namun dimiliki oleh orang yang sama, maka Marketiva berhak untuk membatalkan salah satu atau kedua account tersebut. Apabila ada anggota keluarga, saudara atau teman anda yang ingin bergabung dengan menggunakan komputer yang sama, mereka dapat membuat account baru, men-upload ID foto & alamat serta menkonfirmasikan kepada personal staff support kami (pada menu bagian live chat support software Streamster™). Marketiva berkomitmen untuk membantu pemerintah dalam memerangi segala bentuk praktek pencucian uang (money laundring) serta segala usaha tindak kejahatan melalui internet (cyber crime) lainnya. Semua account baru harus mendaftarkan ID foto & alamat dan mendapatkan konfirmasi bahwa dokumen yang dikirimkan sah sebelum dapat mulai melakukan online trading.

Jika masih ingin mencoba, bolehkah membuka account demo terlebih dahulu?
Platform Marketiva menawarkan 2 macam pilihan desk pada 1 account, yaitu Virtual Forex dan Live Forex. Pada saat sign-up, anda mendapatkan US$ 10.000 uang virtual dan US$ 5 uang real. Jadi dengan hanya membuat 1 account, anda dapat belajar (mencoba-coba) trading terlebih dahulu menggunakan uang virtual pada desk Virtual Forex.

Kapan dan dimana saja dapat melakukan trading?
Karena online, maka anda dapat log-in ke account Marketiva anda kapanpun dan melakukan trading dari tempat manapun diseluruh penjuru dunia yang mempunyai akses ke internet. Waktu trading dimulai pada hari Senin 04.00AM hingga Sabtu 04.00AM (GMT+7). Anda dapat melakukan trading pada masa itu selama 24 jam nonstop.

Mata uang apa saja yang diperdagangkan?
Saat ini ada 12 macam pasangan mata uang yang diperdagangkan, yaitu: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, EUR/JPY, EUR/GBP, EUR/CHF, GBP/JPY, EUR/CAD. Dimasa datang ada kemungkinan jumlah ini dapat bertambah.

Bagaimana Cara Memulai Trading Forex di Marketiva?
Berikut ini adalah langkah - langkah memulai trading:
1. Buka account Marketiva
(a) Isi semua yang bertanda *
(b) Username: pilih dengan nama atau panggilan anda yang unik karena ini nanti digunakan untuk berchatting dengan anggota MARKETIVA yang lain
(c) Password diisi minimal 8 karakter, kombinasikan dengan angka
(d) First Name: nama depan anda
(e) Midle Initial: inisial nama tengah anda jika punya
(f) Last Name: nama akhir anda
(g) Street Address: isi alamat anda sesuai dengan ID anda
(h) City: nama kota anda pada ID
(i) ZIP/Postal Code: Kode pos
(j) State: propinsi yang anda tempati
(k) Country: Pilih Indonesia
(l) Phone: masukkan no telp rumah atau HP yang masih aktif
(m) E-mail: isi alamat email anda yang masih aktif dan sering ada gunakan, karena tiap konfirmasi dan pemberitahuan akan dikirim ke alamat E-mail yang anda isi sekarang
(n) Setelah selesai mengisi form nya, klik "Continue", dan isi form kedua
(o) Pada form kedua, pilih Standard Forex Trader
(p) Terdapat pengisian kupon, dimana fungsi dari kupon ini bisa sebagai kartu diskon, member chat, dan masih banyak lagi yang lainnya. (Pengisian Kode Kupon bisa dilihat di subject email yang saya kirimkan)
(q) Untuk "Recovery Question" dan "Recovery Answer" silakan diisi sesuai dengan yang anda ingat dan sukai, karena ini akan ditanyakan bila anda lupa password MARKETIVA.
(r) Klik "Next" untuk melanjutkan ke lembar perjanjian dan pengesahan dengan MARKETIVA.
(s) Pada halaman ini, merupakan prosedural dari perusahaan pialang terhadap Investornya. Merupakan suatu kewajiban perusahaan untuk memberitahukan resiko - resiko yang ada dalam perdagangan mata uang asing sehingga Investor tidak merasa dirugikan bila terjadi kerugian yang begitu besar dan tidak menuntut perusahaan tersebut karena perusahaan pialang hanya sebagai fasilitator saja. Kemudian pada statement selanjutnya, dari pihak Investor sendiri bahwa Investor telah mengerti atas semua perjanjian yang telah dibuat dengan pihak MARKETIVA.
(t) Klik "Finish" sebagai simbol bahwa anda telah setuju dengan perjanjian yang ada.

2. Download-lah software client Streamster Marketiva
3. Upload Id Foto & Alamat - Ingat jangan melakukan trading terlebih dahulu sebelum ID anda dikonfirmasi!Untuk menghindari praktek money laundring dan tindakan kejahatan lainnya, segera lakukan upload foto identifikasi dan alamat (KTP/SIM/Paspor) setelah mendaftar account melalui software Streamster™ atau website Marketiva. Gambar (foto) dalam format JPEG berwarna atau minimal greyscale (hitam putih tidak diterima) dengan ukuran maksimal masing- masing 100Kb per gambar. Anda dapat menggunakan 1 jenis dokumen (KTP/SIM/Paspor) saja untuk 2 fungsi sekaligus, namun kedua field gambar harus di-isi semua saat men-upload.
Setelah gambar (foto) identifikasi di-verified, anda baru dapat melakukan online trading melalui software client Streamster™ Marketiva. Jika anda tetap memaksa melakukan trading sebelum ID foto & alamat anda di-verified maka account anda akan dibatalkan!
4. Konfirmasi Identifikasi Anda - Setelah ini anda dapat langsung memulai trading (jika telah memiliki account e-gold dan exchanger, serta ingin melakukan deposit penambahan modal)
5. Install software tersebut di komputer anda
6. Sign-in dengan username dan password account anda
7. Buat account LibertyReserve untuk proses transaksi
8. Buat account exchanger: Indochanger untuk penukaran LibertyReserve ke rupiah dan sebaliknya
9. Deposit apabila anda perlu untuk menambah modal trading (lihat bagian cara transaksi)
10. Mulai Trading Anda
Setelah masuk dalam account Marketiva, anda dapat melakukan order trading. Ada 2 macam desk yang tersedia, yaitu Virtual Forex dan Live Forex. Pada Virtual Forex, anda diberi uang virtual (maya) sebesar US$ 10000 - Virtual Forex ini berguna untuk melatih skill trading anda jika masih ingin coba-coba. Pada Live Forex, anda diberi uang real (sungguhan) GRATIS sebesar 5US$ sebagai modal awal yang dapat dicairkan dan menjadi milik anda sepenuhnya jika anda melakukan Live Forex dan mendapatkan profit, namun seumpama jika anda mengalami loss (rugi) hingga uang 5US$ tersebut habis maka anda juga tidak akan rugi apa-apa. Untuk tetap dapat melakukan trading, anda dapat menambah modal (deposit) ke account Marketiva anda sebesar minimal 1US$, sangat mudah dan murah bukan??
Kapan saja dapat melakukan Live Forex di Marketiva? Anda dapat melakukan Live Forex di Marketiva selama 24 jam non-stop mulai dari hari Senin 04.00AM hingga Sabtu 04.00AM untuk waktu GMT+7 atau WIB.

Tujuan utama dalam trading forex adalah mendapatkan keuntungan (profit) dari selisih posisi buka dan tutup yang dapat dicapai dengan 2 cara yaitu :
» Beli dahulu pada harga rendah kemudian Jual pada harga yang lebih tinggi. (posisi LONG dan bila grafik NAIK maka akan PROFIT)
» Jual dahulu pada harga tinggi kemudian Beli pada harga yang lebih rendah. (posisi SHORT dan bila grafik TURUN maka akan PROFIT)

Pada halaman Menu Order anda dapat memilih : Instrumen mata uang, harga, jumlah, pilihan desk, beli/jual, nilai exit Stop-Loss dan nilai Exit Target.
Leverage (daya ungkit) yang digunakan adalah 1:100 (1% syarat jaminan) artinya jika ingin trading dengan quantity 200, setidaknya anda harus memiliki $2 pada account anda. Untuk sementara kami akan mengunci (sebagai jaminan karena disini tidak boleh hutang) $2 anda hingga anda menutup posisi anda. Jadi jika anda memiliki $5 pada desk Live Forex, maka anda dapat dengan mudah trading pada quantity 200. Untuk dapat trading pada quantity yang lebih besar maka anda perlu menambah modal dalam account anda.
Perlu diperhatikan jangan order posisi hingga margin mendekati (mepet) dengan nilai account pada desk Live Forex anda. Sebagai contoh Jika anda punya $200 maka trade quantity maksimal yang tersedia adalah 20000 dan anda memiliki 6 order posisi pada quantity 3000 yang berarti margin anda adalah 18000 -> $180 akan terkunci dan hanya $20 yang tersedia untuk pergerakan pasar. Pada saat margin menyentuh nilai 20000 maka salah satu posisi open anda akan ditutup. Sebagai saran gunakan quantity size maksimal 10x dari jumlah account anda per transaksinya.
Contoh: Saldo account $200 --> quantity size maksimal adalah 2000 per transaksinya. Anda dapat membuat 3 hingga 5 posisi pada quatity tersebut dengan aman. (margin masih 10000 untuk 5 posisi pada quantity 2000 atau 10 posisi untuk quantity 1000).

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Initially, principles of the Dow Theory were used only for the American indices created by Charles Dow: Transportation and Industrial. Most of them, however, can be successfully applied to the foreign exchange market.
Indices discount everything. According to Charles Dow any factor which influences demand and supply will be reflected in the index. These factors cannot be foreseen but nevertheless they are taken into account by the market and reflect index behaviour.
There are three movements on the market. Uptrend is characterised by the fact that every following top is higher then the previous one and every next bottom is higher then the previous one. Downtrend is characterised by the fact that every following top is lower than the previous one and every bottom is lower than the preceding one. When the market is in the flat position every next move (up or down) is approximately at the same level as the preceding one:


Dow classified market trends as follows:
primary trend (it is called a broad one and lasts from anything less than one year up to several years);
secondary trend (it lasts from three weeks to three months and is considered as a correcting trend to the primary one. These in-between rebounds are one-two thirds (or even half) of the range prices move during the primary trend);
daily trend (a short-term movement within the secondary trend, which has very little long-term forecasting value).
Another classification was suggested by Thomas DeMark:
short-term trend (if the price has moved less than 5%);
mid-term trend (if more than 5% but less than 15%);
long-term trend (if more than 15%).
DeMark designed a forecasting method to predict the beginning of a trend, both mid-term and long-term. The method is based on the specially designed coefficients.
The primary trend has three phases. During the first phase all unfavourable market information has been discounted by the market and the far-sighted and better informed traders start to buy. The second phase starts when the traders who do technical analysis enter the market. Once all economic data becomes more favourable, the third, final phase begins, which is characterised by high activity on the market supported by the mass media and optimistic economic forecasts in the newspapers and on TV. Despite the positive sentiment, the final phase is the first sign that the prevailing trend is about to end.
Indices must confirm each other in order for the signal to have authority (referred to Industrial and Rail (or Transport) indices). Charles Dow said that any significant uptrend or downtrend signal on the market must be considered together in the Industrial and Rail indices. If we applied this principle now on the basis of modern technical analysis, it would mean that a signal from one technical indicator must be confirmed by a signal from another technical indicator.
Trade volume must confirm the prevailing trend. If prices move in accordance with the prevailing trend, it increases the volume and inversely, when there is a rebound, volume decreases.
The primary trend remains intact until a change in that trend has been given by the theory. The last major signal remains in force until a new signal develops. Many analysts believe that a bull market must always be moving to new highs. However, the market can undergo extended periods of sideways or lackluster trading without the primary trend changing. If the last major signal under the theory is bullish, the primary bull market trend remains in force until a bear market signal is given.
Trend Lines and Trend Channels
Trend is a general direction of the price.
Trend Lines
Prices do not only rise or fall but most of the time they actually move in narrow ranges. So, in accordance with the Dow Theory we can therefore divide trends into three types:
"bull" (or "uptrend") - prices rise;
"bear" (or "downtrend") – prices fall;
"flat" (or "sideways") – prices are in a narrow range. As a general rule, market consolidates prior to a rapid price rise or fall.
First of all, it is very important to determine if the market is uptrending or downtrending (this can be done with the help of trend indicators and trend lines or channels) and if the prevailing trend is strong or weak (with the help of oscillators and charts patterns).

Uptrend line in MetaTrader
Uptrend means that every next bottom is above the previous one, and every next high is above the previous one, so in this case, the trend line is drawn between bottom points. Obviously a trend line created by joining only two points will be less effective than a trend line created by three or more points.

Downtrend line in MetaTrader
Downtrend means that every next bottom is under the previous bottom and every next high is under the previous high, so in this case, the trend line is created by using the highest points.
Any trend (bullish or bearish) must be confirmed by trade volume. Put it simply: when prices move in accordance with the prevailing trend, the trade volume increases; when prices move against the prevailing trend (rebound), then trade volume decreases. Once the situation changes and trade volume during rebounds becomes greater than that during the trend price movement, it is a serious signal that the trend may not be so strong (but it is not the signal to open the opposite position, as there is no confirmation of the trend reversal).

Flat trend line in MetaTrader
A Flat Market means that every next bottom or high is at the same level as that of the previous bottom or high. In this case, the trend line is drawn by joining both bottoms and highs.
In order to draw a trend line in MetaTrader 4 press the button on the "Line studies" toolbar:

Line studies toolbar
Point the mouse cursor to the first trend line point, click and hold the left mouse button to draw the line to the second point. Once you have done this, release the button. If you wish to highlight the trend line, just double click on it. Right-click on the highlighted object to enable the context menu:

There are two types of trend lines in MetaTrader 4: vertical and horizontal trend lines.
With the help of a trend line you can identify the moment when the trend will change. Once a trend line has been broken, chances are that the trend has just changed its direction or its strength has started to diminish.
Sometimes the trend line is broken by a bar low or high, and the price continues to move in the direction of the current trend. There are many methods to define if a breakout is true, hereafter are the most popular :
Trend is your friend - do not open positions against the prevailing trend.
The primary trend remains intact until a change in that trend has been given. Trend line breakout is one of the most important signals that the trend may reverse.
Do not try to open positions against the prevailing trend hoping that the trend is weak and that the reversal point is not far away. In most cases price sweeps through your Stop Loss order and only subsequently does the trend reverse.
A Stop Loss order should be placed below an uptrend line (or above a downtrend line).
Tomas Demark made his contribution to the theory of trend lines. According to his theory, trend is rooted in two critical points through which the trend is drawn. He called these points TD-lines (his name, Tomas Demark, abbreviation). These points are defined at the basis of extreme points.
Channel Lines
Channel lines are a significant part of trend analysis. Channel lines are like boundaries for price fluctuations. To create a channel line, draw a parallel straight line next to the trend line: one of them joins price chart highs, the other price chart lows:

Channel lines are used:
To point out where to fix profits and losses. If there is an uptrend channel, Take Profit order may be placed under the upper line and Stop Loss order under the lower line. If there is a downtrend channel, Take Profit order should be placed above the lower line and Stop Loss above the upper line.
If the price does not touch the upper line of the uptrend (lower line of the downtrend) this signifies that the prevailing trend is weak.
In order to create a channel line in MetaTrader 4 double click the left mouse button on the trend line, press and hold the Ctrl button and drag the newly created parallel line to its place on the chart. Then release the Ctrl button.

Support and Resistance levels are patterns of classical technical analysis. All trend (channel) lines, reversal and continuation chart patterns are only combinations of support and resistance levels.
Support level is a starting point of an uptrend, and is actually a tangent to the minimum prices. It is commonly thought that when the price falls down to the support level, Bulls (buyers) start to resist against further price decrease thus giving it support. This explains why is many cases the price will bounce back and start rising after having reached a support level.
After several attempts the price may break the support level. Once the support level is broken, it becomes the resistance level:


There is an example of when a support level became resistance in September 14, 2003:


Resistance level is a tangent to the maximum prices:

It is assumed that once the price reaches this level it will not point higher. After several attempts the price may break the resistance level. Once the resistance level is broken it becomes the support level.
Support and resistance levels are very easy to create and they are a very effective method to forecast price behaviour. In order to define if the support/resistance level breakout is true, please refer to the criteria outlined for trend lines

Price correction (retracement) is a short-term anti-trend price movement. Prices almost never just rise during the uptrend and fall during the downtrend. Even within the same trend, the price can rise and then retrace for a while or vice versa. The most profitable and less risky positions are positions opened at the end of the retracement. It is therefore important to know how to define the levels at which the trend will resume after a short retracement. Technical analysis has the so called correction index which uses Fibonacci numbers. The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers that takes the previous number and adds it to the current number to get the next number in the sequence. For example, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144 etc.
These numbers possess an intriguing number of interrelationships, such as the fact that any given number is approximately 1.618 times the preceding number and any given number is approximately 0.618 times the following number.
Experienced traders know that in a fast market, the correction is about 0.382 of the price range movement. In a market with average price movements, correction is about half the price range movement. Maximum correction is 0.618, which indicates that the trend is rather weak.
How to draw Fibonacci Retracement

Fibonacci Retracement in MetaTrader 4
To estimate if Fibonacci Retracement breakout is true, please refer to the methods used to estimate the truth of the trend lines breakouts.
In order to draw Fibonacci Retracement in MetaTrader 4 press the Fibonacci button of the "Line Studies" toolbar:
Line Studies toolbar

Drag the cursor to the uptrend low (downtrend high), click and hold the left mouse button to drag the cursor to the uptrend high (downtrend low) and release the button. Fibonacci Retracement appears on the chart. Highlight it by double clicking, click the right mouse button to enable the context menu with the settings.

Moving Average
Moving average (MA) is the average of prices (more often the closing prices) over a specified number of periods. It is a smoothed correlation between currency rates and time periods. The time period of any moving average defines how much it will be smoothed. For example, when a Moving Average is calculated by adding the closing prices for the last 5 bars, then it is defined as a 5-period MA.
When you select a period for the moving average (table shown below) keep in mind the following:
The greater the time period, the less sensitive the MA is to price movements.
If the MA period is too short, then it will have too mane false signals.
A too long MA period will often lag a little.
For sideways trends it is better to use longer than usual periods.
Recommended Moving Averages time frames
Chart period Moving Average
Weekly 8, 13, 21
Daily 8, 13, 21, 55, 89
4 hours 8, 34, 55, 89, 144
1 hour 8, 34, 55, 89, 144
15 minutes 34, 55, 144
There are three types of Moving Averages:
Simple Moving Average (SMA)
Weighted Moving Average (WMA)
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
Formula for the Simple Moving Average (SMA):

where
P - price of i-bar;
n - MA period.
Formula for the Weighted Moving Average (WMA):

where
P - price of i-bar;
W - weight of i-bar.
Often MA is weighted by volume.
Formula for the Exponential Moving Average (EMA):
EMA(t) = EMA(t - 1) + (K x [Price(t) - EMA(t - 1)],
where
t - current time period;
t -1 - previous time period;
K = 2 / (n + 1);
n - EMA period.
The main advantage of the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is that it discounts both prices of the previous and current periods. Every subsequent value becomes more significant.
In order to create a Moving Average in MetaTrader 4 use the "Insert->Indicators ->Trend->Moving Average" menu sequence:

How to analyze Moving Averages:
Find Moving Average and price chart cross-point. If the price line crosses the Moving Average line from below, then this is a signal to buy. If it crosses from above, then it is time to sell.
Note that Moving Average usually moves in the direction of the prevailing trend.
Find points which occur after Moving Average tops or bottoms. There is a high possibility of a reversal.
Find points where the divergence between Moving Average and price is widest.
If you do not have other confirmations it is not recommended to open positions against the Moving Average's direction.
Moving Average signals are more effective on a trend market and less effective when the market is flat. As MA is a lagging indicator, it gives many false alarms.

Envelopes
Envelopes are formed with upper border U and lower border L. The formula is:
U = ( 1 + u / 100 ) x SMA (P, n)
L = ( 1 - d / 100 ) x SMA (P, n)
where
U – upper border;
L – lower border;
u - % above the moving average;
d - % below the moving average;
SMA (P, n) – moving average.
The percentage ("u" and "d") should be set so that about 95% of price activity is contained within the envelope and 5% outside it. The indicator will then be adequate to the market balance and all prices will come back to the envelope after they exit it.

Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Band is constructed by placing upper and lower bands around a moving average, the band width is not constant but instead proportional to the mean square divergence from the moving average over the specified period of time. Based on the Bollinger Band analysis, the decision to enter/exit the market is made when the price rises above upper BB resistance or falls below lower Bollinger Band support.
If the price moves within upper and lower bands, then Bollinger Band analysis is not a reliable method to determine when the best time to open/close positions is. Once the price penetrates the band to, then come back to the previous levels, then it is considered as the right time to open a position.
Sometimes, when the price penetrates the Bollinger Band and only "tries" new levels, but then comes back right away it may be a false breakout. If it is a true breakout then you have the possibility to trade against the trend. However, it is important to make sure that the breakout is false. In this case refer to the volume because it sharply decreases if the breakout is not false.
Bollinger Bands show the strength of the market:
Bollinger Bands contract when the market is quiet, without sharp price movements, consolidating to continue the prevailing trend or produce a new one.
Bollinger Bands widen when the prevailing trend becomes stronger or at the beginning of a new trend. A good trend confirmation is when bands widen and volume rises.
In a bullish market, moving average is the support level, whereas in a bearish market it is the resistance level.
In order to add the indicator on the chart in MetaTrader 4 follow the «Insert -> Indicators -> Trend -> Bollinger Bands» menu sequence:


Bollinger Bands

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)
Some of the disadvantages of moving averages may be avoided by using the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). MACD is the difference between the fast 12-day exponential moving average (fast EMA) and the slow 26-day exponential moving average (slow EMA). Typically, this is plotted with the 9-day EMA of the indicator itself.
SIGNAL = EMA(9) [MACD],
where
MACD = EMA(12) [p] - EMA(26) [p];
p – price.

Bullish divergence appears when a new price top has not been confirmed by a new MACD top, i.e. price top is above the preceding top and MACD top is below the preceding top:


MACD Bullish Divergence
This signifies that the prevailing trend is weak. However, it is not recommended to open positions against the weakening trend as it is valid up to the moment of reversal. Bullish divergence only indicates that the trend is weak, not that it has ceased. So, before you open a position against the trend, find more significant confirmations that the trend is about to reverse (for example, the breakout of the trend line).

Bearish convergence appears when a new price bottom has not been confirmed by a new bottom of the indicator, i.e. the following price bottom is below the preceding one, and the following indicator bottom is above the preceding one:


MACD Bearish Convergence
This means that the bearish trend is weak but this is not a signal for reversal, so find other confirmations before opening a position.
When the price changes a bit and MACD moves around the zero line, this signals trend continuation.
In order to add Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) to the chart use the "Insert -> Indicators -> Oscillators -> MACD" menu sequence.
In MetaTrader 4 MACD is represented as a histogram (MACD) and a signal line (SIGNAL).
MACD signals:
Levels which follow the signal line top or bottom are the alarms for a deal.
If MACD is below the zero line then trend is bearish, if it is above it then the trend is bullish.
SIGNAL line and price bullish divergence / bearish convergence – a strong sign that prevailing trend is weak.
If MACD is below zero and there is no bearish convergence, and MACD histogram crosses the slow line (SIGNAL) from below, then there are great chances for an upside price rebound.
If MACD is above zero and there is no bullish divergence and MACD histogram crosses the slow line (SIGNAL) from above, then there are great chances for a downside price rebound.

Moving Average of Oscillator (OsMA)
Moving Average of Oscillator (OsMA) is generally calculated as the difference between the oscillator and the moving average on the oscillator. In MetaTrader 4, MACD is used as an oscillator, and a SIGNAL (signal line) is used as a moving average:
OSMA = MACD-SIGNAL

Parabolic indicator (sometimes referred to as SAR) was developed by Welles Wilder in 1976 and was originally called "stop and reverse". The indicator is effective only in a trending market. It helps to define the direction of the prevailing trend and the moment to close positions opened during the reversal.
The closing price (parabolic) is calculated for each bar using the following formula:
Long positions:
SAR (i) = ACCELERATION * (HIGH (i - 1) - SAR (i - 1)) + SAR (i - 1)

Short positions:
SAR (i) = ACCELERATION * (LOW (i - 1) - SAR (i - 1)) - SAR (i - 1)
Where:
SAR (i - 1) — parabolic value on the preceding bar,
ACCELERATION – acceleration factor; for the first bar it is usually 0.20, and then it is calculated as follows:
AF = 0.20 + n x 0.02, where n – the number of new tops (bottoms),
HIGH (i - 1) — high of the previous period,
LOW (i - 1) — low of the previous period.
If a trend is bullish, SAR is below the price chart; if it is bearish, SAR is above the price chart. When the price crosses Parabolic SAR, the indicator reverses and its value becomes opposite to the price. The actual point at which the system is reversed is the high or the low of the previous period.
In order to add the indicator in MetaTrader 4 use «Insert -> Indicators -> Trend -> Parabolic SAR» menu sequence:


Parabolic signals:
When the price chart crosses Parabolic SAR it may be a reversal signal or may indicate temporary consolidation, hence, it is considered as a classic signal to initiate a position.
Parabolic SAR and trend direction are the same. If parabolic moves higher, then the trend is bullish and vice versa.
If there is a significant divergence between the price chart and the parabolic, then their convergence may happen very soon.
When the indicator has completely formed and the Parabolic SAR moves parallel to the price chart, most of the signals will be true; after this, they tend to contract and the number of false signals will be higher.

Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) was developed and described in detail by Welles Wilder in his book "New concepts in technical trading systems". Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) shows if there is a trend on the market and what potential it has.
ADX represents two opposite +/-DM and ADX lines:
The first goes in the direction of the price movement (+DM).
The second goes in the opposite direction (-DM).
The third (ADX) is the absolute difference between +/-DM lines, so the more divergence between +/-DM lines, the greater the value of ADX.
In order to add the ADX indicator to the chart in MetaTrader 4 use the "Insert -> Indicators ->Trend -> Average Directional Movement Index" menu sequence:

Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) signals (table shown below):
Intersection with the extremum lines or reversal at high-low.
+DM and -DM lines intersection precedes a new trend or strengthens the prevailing one - it is a very strong signal.
If +DM line is above -DM line, then the trend is bullish, and vice versa.
If lines diverge then ADX value increases and the trend becomes stronger, and vice versa.
If ADX is below 20, then the trend is very weak.

Main principles of oscillators analysis
Oscillators are used to:
Determine the strength of the prevailing trend.
Determine when to open a position on a flat market.
To define if the trend is weak, use bullish divergence / bearish convergence.
Bullish divergence occurs when a new price high is not confirmed by a new oscillator high, i.e the next high is above the preceding one and the next oscillator high is lower than the preceding one. This implies that the uptrend is weak:


Bearish convergence occurs when a new bottom is not confirmed by a new oscillator bottom, i.e. every next bottom is lower than the preceding one and every next oscillator bottom is higher than the preceding one. This signals that the downtrend is weak:


Both bullish divergence and bearish convergence, however, show that it is better to refrain from opening a position against the weakening trend. Trend is valid until reversal signals appear.
It is important to be more careful with oscillators when the trend is strong; often false oscillator signals indicate the strength of the trend. If it is an uptrend then most of the time oscillators are in the overbought area, if it is a downtrend, they are in the oversold area. Overbought and oversold levels have to be defined for each indicator individually.
In the figures above Relative Strength Index (RSI) is used as an oscillator. If the indicator is above 70 then it is in the overbought area, if it is below 30 then it is in the oversold area.
When the trend is strong, the oscillator can be in the overbought (oversold) area for a long time and then it can exit the area but the trend will still be valid.
When the oscillator penetrates the overbought (oversold) area for the second time and then quickly goes back forming a bullish divergence/bearish convergence, there is a high chance that the trend will weaken.
In case, where the market is flat, it may be time to open a position once the oscillator leaves the overbought (oversold) area. Confirmation of the signal appears when the price is close to the upper (lower) border of the trading range.
Bullish divergence
Here the price is above and oscillator is below:


Medium signal
The price may rise if the oscillator is within the lower range.
The price may fall if the oscillator is in the middle.


Strong signal
Trend reversal or the price consolidation followed by trend reversal.


Medium signal
Trend may strengthen if the oscillator is close to the lower border.
Price consolidation is possible if the oscillator is close to the upper border.
Both price increase and price consolidation are possible if the oscillator is in the middle.
Bearish convergence
Here the price is above and oscillator is below:


Medium signal
The price may fall if the oscillator is within the upper range.
The price may stabilize if the oscillator is in the middle.


Strong signal
Trend reversal or price consolidation followed by trend reversal.


Medium signal
The trend may strengthen if the oscillator is within the upper range.
The price may rise if the oscillator is within the lower range.
Both price decrease and consolidation is possible if the oscillator is in the middle.
Parallel lines
Here the price is above and oscillator is below:


Medium signal
Strong uptrend.


Strong signal
Trend may reverse soon.


Medium signal
Strong downtrend.